The Probability of Jesus’ Resurrection

Only God Himself Could Have—Mathematically and Scientifically—Raised Him From the Dead

One of the greatest examples of defying all probability is Jesus’ resurrection. Not only is it mathematically improbable—if not impossible—but it is also scientifically impossible under natural law. Furthermore, the Old Testament prophesied his death and resurrection multiple times, across different books, time periods, and authors. Jesus himself also foretold his own resurrection, including the exact length of time he would remain dead before rising again.

Over 20 Old Testament prophecies predicted Jesus’ resurrection, including key passages in Psalms (16 and 22), Isaiah, Hosea, and Jonah. Then, in the New Testament, Jesus repeatedly predicted his own death and resurrection. When all of this is considered together, it defies every known probability and scientific expectation.

Let’s break this down mathematically:

The rarity of resurrection itself – Before modern medicine, documented resurrections were essentially unheard of. There are no verifiable cases of anyone naturally resurrecting after being dead for three days. Some estimate the probability of such an event occurring naturally at 1 in 10²? (1 in a trillion trillion). That’s like picking one specific grain of sand from 1 million Earths covered in sand.

Predicting and fulfilling one’s own resurrection – No other historical figure has accurately prophesied their own resurrection and fulfilled it. If we assume the probability of this is 1 in 10?, it significantly reduces the likelihood.

Old Testament prophecies aligning – Multiple independent prophecies predicted the resurrection centuries before Jesus’ birth. If each had only a 1 in 100 (10²) chance of applying to him, the combined probability of them all being fulfilled is 1 in 10¹?.

Multiplying these improbabilities together:
10²? × 10? × 10¹? = 10?³

This results in a probability of 1 in 10?³, which is beyond comprehension. To put it in perspective, it is like hiding a single grain of sand somewhere in 10,000 universes full of sand and picking it on the first try.

Such an event, by pure chance, is mathematically impossible.

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